13 Haziran 2019 Perşembe

Balıkesir bölgesinin WRF ile sayısal hava tahmin modeli ve karşılaştırılması,kongre bildirisi


Ömer Mert BAYRAKTAR,Balıkesir Üniversitesi,Çevre Mühendisliği Bölümü

Son zamanlarda gelişen teknoloji sayesinde hava tahmin yöntemlerinin çeşitliliği de artmıştır. Günümüzde birden fazla parametrenin iç içe olduğu sayısal hava tahmin modelleri istatistiki bir çok yöntem uygulanmaktadır. Kullanılan kısa ve uzun dönemli hava tahminleri, tarımdan ulaşıma,turizimden enerjiye yönelik birçok faaliyette kullanılmaktadır.
Bu yöntemlerden biride WRF’dir.WRF, diğer bir şekilde açılımı olan Weather Research and Forecasting, bir hava tahmin ve araştırma modelidir. WRF, dünya çapında kendini kanıtlamış, atmosferik konularda bize yardımcı olabilecek yeni nesil bir sayısal hava tahmin modelidir. Birden fazla dinamik merkez koduna ve 3DVAR isimli bir veri asimilasyonu sistemine sahiptir.Ayrıca ücretiz olmakla birlikte, linux tabanlı çoğu işletim sisteminde çalışabilen, paralel hesaplamaya olanak veren ve gelişmeye açık bir yazılım mimarisine sahiptir.

The Weather Research and Forecasting
Şekil 1. Ncview yardımıyla WRF sıcaklık değerlerinin görselleştirmesi örneği

Yapılan çalışmada, Balıkesir Bölgesi için WRF modelini kullanarak. Geçmişe ve geleceğe yönelik meteorolojik tahminlerde bulunup, uygun yöntemler ile görselleştirmesi yapılmıştır. Elde edilen sonuçlar ışığında meteoroloji genel müdürlüğünün ölçmüş olduğu verilerle kıyaslama yapılıp modelin uygunluğu test edilmeye çalışılmıştır.







Keywords: WRF, Balıkesir,Modelleme

Devamını Oku »

11 Haziran 2019 Salı

Air quality dispersion model


Before I start writing, The World Health Organization(WHO) report on air quality in 2006 highlighted that “clean air is the most important basic requirement for human health and well being” thus, WHO emphasized how important fresh air is to us humans and to the oraganisms that are part of our World. Although environmentally sensitive structures and renewable energy increase with the development of technology in our world, most of the energy needs are supply with fossil fuels. If their emissions are not controlled and precautions are not taken It is obvious that these fossil fuels used throughout the world will cause serious harm to humans and the entire ecosystem.

Hava kirliliği dağılım modellemesi

In this article, I will tell of about AERMOD,the other name air quality modeling and control parameter. AERMOD, developed in collaboration with EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) and AMS (American Mathematical Society), model the pollution from source up to 50km diameter of pollutants such as PM10, PM2.5, NOX, CO, LEAD originating from the source with the Gauss distribution model. If we talk about how AERMOD works; the contaminant from the source could be the chimney of a cement plant, a mine, or any vehicle we use for transportation in our daily life.In light of meteorological data(wind speed and direction,temperature, pressure etc.) and depending on the location of the region, it gives us the modeling and written result of the pollution emitted from the source to the environment. Let's examine it with an example.

AERMOD developed in time with EPA(Environmental Protection Agency) and AMS(American Mathematical Society), PM10, PM2.5, NOX, CO, LEAD etc. originating from Gauss distribution model. modeling of pollution from sources up to 50km diameter of pollutants. The following figure shows a model distribution for a sample plant. The number 1 and 2 area sources, number 3 chimney, and number 4 vehicle sources model processed.[On the left side of the model picture, the result of the model is annual in the “concentration” section and on the right legant, the result of the ug(micrograms)/m3. How are these results evaluated?

The results are evaluated according to the limit values determined by each country according to it’s environmental conditions. As environmental conditions, I'm stepping on it because the most important parameter affecting AERMOD is wind speed and direction. If I have to explain this with an example, it is spread in a narrow area where the flour is left down in a closed environment. However, in an open environment, depending on the strength of the wind, flour can spread miles beyond. Thus, the pollution from the source reaches the low concentration flow rate and reaches the ideal conditions for the human and living ecosystem. Thus, the pollution from the source reaches the low concentration flow rate and reaches the ideal conditions for the human and living ecosystem.

Well, let's look at how it works in our country. In our country, the following and control of this work is “Republic of Turkey Ministry of Environment and Urbanization”, follows as of the date of publication of this article.

Hava kirliliği kontrol yönetmeliği

According to the results of AERMOD, 24 hour daily PM10 value in 365 days 35 times in the table gives the results exceeding the values or if the amount of polluted dust exceeds the limit values according to the working year, the ministry shall impose administrative sanctions on the enterprise and these sanctions may go on until the closure of the enterprise. For this reason, plant need to take various control measures in order to provide boundary values. Thus, the harmful effects of pollution caused by enterprises to the environment are tried to be kept at a minimum level.

Today, I tried to explain to you what purpose AERMOD was used in our country from the working principle. If you have a question that you are curious about, go to the comments section below or mertbayraktar585@gmail.com you can ask me by e-mail.

Ömer Mert BAYRAKTAR



Devamını Oku »

Balıkesir bölgesinin WRF ile sayısal hava tahmin modeli ve karşılaştırılması,kongre bildirisi

Ömer Mert BAYRAKTAR, Balıkesir Üniversitesi,Çevre Mühendisliği Bölümü Son zamanlarda gelişen teknoloji sayesinde hava tahmin yöntemleri...